Long-term weather trends in Sanary-sur-Mer: 30-day, 3-month and 12-month forecasts
Weather trend
Based on 18 years of archives
Calculated on 3 September 2026
Find long-term weather in Sanary-sur-Mer, French Riviera and Provence, with a 30-day trend, for the next 3 months and month-by-month over 12 months, calculated from 18 years of weather archives.
30-day weather forecast in Sanary-sur-Mer, French Riviera and Provence
This summary helps quickly identify the major weather trends for the coming month in Sanary-sur-Mer, French Riviera and Provence, before checking the day-by-day calendar below.
Average temperature
18.6°C
Likely rainy days / week
1.8 days
Dominant weather type
sunny
60%
To remember
The expected temperature remains close to the normals, around 18.6°C on average. The rain looks close to usual levels, with about 1.8 rainy days per week. The dominant scenario remains sunny, with about 60% recurrence and a high confidence.
These long-term predictions are calculated from 18 years of observed weather in Sanary-sur-Mer. They allow identification of probable trends derived from historical data, and are not short-term weather forecasts.
30-day weather calendar in Sanary-sur-Mer, day by day
For each date, find a likely temperature range, a risk of rain, and the most frequent weather type.
| Date | Temperatures | Rain | Dominant weather | History |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
September 30, 2026
|
18°C /
22°C
Likely temperature:
19.0°C -
22.0°C
|
Risk of rain
22%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
67%
|
|
|
October 1, 2026
|
18°C /
22°C
Likely temperature:
19.0°C -
21.8°C
|
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
67%
|
|
|
October 2, 2026
|
18°C /
22°C
Likely temperature:
18.8°C -
21.8°C
|
Risk of rain
25%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
67%
|
|
|
October 3, 2026
|
18°C /
22°C
Likely temperature:
18.8°C -
21.5°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
66%
|
|
|
October 4, 2026
|
18°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
18.8°C -
21.0°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
66%
|
|
|
October 5, 2026
|
18°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
18.5°C -
21.0°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
66%
|
|
|
October 6, 2026
|
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
18.5°C -
21.0°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
66%
|
|
|
October 7, 2026
|
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
18.3°C -
20.8°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
66%
|
|
|
October 8, 2026
|
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
18.3°C -
20.8°C
|
Risk of rain
25%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
65%
|
|
|
October 9, 2026
|
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
18.0°C -
20.8°C
|
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
65%
|
|
|
October 10, 2026
|
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
17.8°C -
20.8°C
|
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
64%
|
|
|
October 11, 2026
|
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
17.5°C -
20.5°C
|
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
63%
|
|
|
October 12, 2026
|
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
17.3°C -
20.3°C
|
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
63%
|
|
|
October 13, 2026
|
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
17.3°C -
20.3°C
|
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
62%
|
|
|
October 14, 2026
|
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
17.0°C -
20.0°C
|
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
61%
|
|
|
October 15, 2026
|
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
20.0°C
|
Risk of rain
25%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
60%
|
|
|
October 16, 2026
|
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
20.0°C
|
Risk of rain
25%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
59%
|
|
|
October 17, 2026
|
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
20.0°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
58%
|
|
|
October 18, 2026
|
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
20.0°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
58%
|
|
|
October 19, 2026
|
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
20.0°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
57%
|
|
|
October 20, 2026
|
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
19.8°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
56%
|
|
|
October 21, 2026
|
16°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
19.8°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
56%
|
|
|
October 22, 2026
|
16°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
19.8°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
56%
|
|
|
October 23, 2026
|
16°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
19.5°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
55%
|
|
|
October 24, 2026
|
16°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
19.5°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
55%
|
|
|
October 25, 2026
|
16°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.5°C -
19.3°C
|
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
54%
|
|
|
October 26, 2026
|
16°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.5°C -
19.3°C
|
Risk of rain
27%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
53%
|
|
|
October 27, 2026
|
16°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.5°C -
19.0°C
|
Risk of rain
28%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
51%
|
|
|
October 28, 2026
|
15°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.3°C -
18.8°C
|
Risk of rain
29%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
50%
|
|
|
October 29, 2026
|
15°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.3°C -
18.5°C
|
Risk of rain
30%
If rain:
very low
|
sunny
48%
|
September 30, 2026
Temperatures
18°C /
22°C
Likely temperature:
19.0°C -
22.0°C
Rain
Risk of rain
22%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
67%
October 1, 2026
Temperatures
18°C /
22°C
Likely temperature:
19.0°C -
21.8°C
Rain
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
67%
October 2, 2026
Temperatures
18°C /
22°C
Likely temperature:
18.8°C -
21.8°C
Rain
Risk of rain
25%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
67%
October 3, 2026
Temperatures
18°C /
22°C
Likely temperature:
18.8°C -
21.5°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
66%
October 4, 2026
Temperatures
18°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
18.8°C -
21.0°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
66%
October 5, 2026
Temperatures
18°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
18.5°C -
21.0°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
66%
October 6, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
18.5°C -
21.0°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
66%
October 7, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
18.3°C -
20.8°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
66%
October 8, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
18.3°C -
20.8°C
Rain
Risk of rain
25%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
65%
October 9, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
18.0°C -
20.8°C
Rain
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
65%
October 10, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
17.8°C -
20.8°C
Rain
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
64%
October 11, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
17.5°C -
20.5°C
Rain
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
63%
October 12, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
21°C
Likely temperature:
17.3°C -
20.3°C
Rain
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
63%
October 13, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
17.3°C -
20.3°C
Rain
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
62%
October 14, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
17.0°C -
20.0°C
Rain
Risk of rain
24%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
61%
October 15, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
20.0°C
Rain
Risk of rain
25%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
60%
October 16, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
20.0°C
Rain
Risk of rain
25%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
59%
October 17, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
20.0°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
58%
October 18, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
20.0°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
58%
October 19, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
20.0°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
57%
October 20, 2026
Temperatures
17°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
19.8°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
56%
October 21, 2026
Temperatures
16°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
19.8°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
56%
October 22, 2026
Temperatures
16°C /
20°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
19.8°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
56%
October 23, 2026
Temperatures
16°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
19.5°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
55%
October 24, 2026
Temperatures
16°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.8°C -
19.5°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
55%
October 25, 2026
Temperatures
16°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.5°C -
19.3°C
Rain
Risk of rain
26%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
54%
October 26, 2026
Temperatures
16°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.5°C -
19.3°C
Rain
Risk of rain
27%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
53%
October 27, 2026
Temperatures
16°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.5°C -
19.0°C
Rain
Risk of rain
28%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
51%
October 28, 2026
Temperatures
15°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.3°C -
18.8°C
Rain
Risk of rain
29%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
50%
October 29, 2026
Temperatures
15°C /
19°C
Likely temperature:
16.3°C -
18.5°C
Rain
Risk of rain
30%
If rain:
very low
Dominant weather
sunny
48%
This 30-day weather forecast in Sanary-sur-Mer allows you to quickly identify the mildest, wettest, or most changeable stretches in the coming month.
Week-by-week weather trend in Sanary-sur-Mer over 10 weeks
The maps below follow the actual calendar weeks, from Monday to Sunday, to identify the most favorable periods in the coming weeks in Sanary-sur-Mer.
Week 40
28 September - 4 October 2026
sunny
67%
clearings
15%
rainy
14%
Likely temperature
18°C / 22°C
Probable rain
1.6 days -
14 mm
Week 41
5 - 11 October 2026
sunny
65%
rainy
15%
clearings
15%
Likely temperature
17°C / 21°C
Probable rain
1.7 days -
18 mm
Week 42
12 - 18 October 2026
sunny
60%
rainy
18%
clearings
17%
Likely temperature
17°C / 21°C
Probable rain
1.7 days -
20 mm
Week 43
19 - 25 October 2026
sunny
56%
rainy
21%
clearings
20%
Likely temperature
16°C / 20°C
Probable rain
1.8 days -
27 mm
Week 44
26 October - 1 November 2026
sunny
48%
rainy
27%
clearings
19%
cloudy
6%
Likely temperature
15°C / 19°C
Probable rain
2.1 days -
32 mm
Week 45
2 - 8 November 2026
sunny
43%
rainy
28%
clearings
20%
cloudy
8%
Likely temperature
13°C / 18°C
Probable rain
2.5 days -
36 mm
Week 46
9 - 15 November 2026
sunny
52%
clearings
20%
rainy
20%
cloudy
7%
Likely temperature
13°C / 17°C
Probable rain
2.0 days -
21 mm
Week 47
16 - 22 November 2026
sunny
54%
clearings
22%
rainy
17%
cloudy
7%
Likely temperature
12°C / 16°C
Probable rain
1.8 days -
24 mm
Week 48
23 - 29 November 2026
sunny
52%
clearings
22%
rainy
19%
cloudy
6%
Likely temperature
10°C / 15°C
Probable rain
2.2 days -
26 mm
Week 49
30 November - 6 December 2026
sunny
55%
clearings
20%
rainy
18%
cloudy
7%
Likely temperature
9°C / 13°C
Probable rain
1.8 days -
15 mm
3-month weather trend in Sanary-sur-Mer
Temperatures, rain, sunshine and prevailing weather for the coming month and the following two months in Sanary-sur-Mer, French Riviera and Provence.
September 2026
sunny
69%
clearings
16%
rainy
14%
Likely temperature
19°C / 24°C
Average temperature
22.1°C
Probable rain
40 mm
Rainy days
4 days
Average sun/day
11.3 h
Average wind
20 km/h
Average humidity
72%
Cloud cover
16%
October 2026
sunny
59%
rainy
19%
clearings
17%
Likely temperature
16°C / 20°C
Average temperature
18.5°C
Probable rain
75 mm
Rainy days
10 days
Average sun/day
9.1 h
Average wind
24 km/h
Average humidity
75%
Cloud cover
25%
November 2026
sunny
50%
rainy
21%
clearings
21%
cloudy
7%
Likely temperature
12°C / 15°C
Average temperature
14.1°C
Probable rain
45 mm
Rainy days
8 days
Average sun/day
7.8 h
Average wind
26 km/h
Average humidity
75%
Cloud cover
32%
This 3-month weather trend in Sanary-sur-Mer helps anticipate the next month and the two following for a stay, a departure, or seasonal planning.
Month-by-month weather forecast in Sanary-sur-Mer over 12 months
Easily compare over 1 year the likely weather for each upcoming month in Sanary-sur-Mer, French Riviera and Provence to choose the best time based on heat, rain, or sunshine.
September 2026
sunny
69%
clearings
16%
rainy
14%
19°C
24°C
40 mm
4 days
average confidence
October 2026
sunny
59%
rainy
19%
clearings
17%
16°C
20°C
75 mm
10 days
average confidence
November 2026
sunny
50%
rainy
21%
clearings
21%
cloudy
7%
12°C
15°C
45 mm
8 days
average confidence
December 2026
sunny
56%
rainy
19%
clearings
16%
cloudy
9%
9°C
12°C
50 mm
8 days
average confidence
January 2027
sunny
49%
clearings
22%
rainy
17%
cloudy
11%
8°C
11°C
41 mm
7 days
average confidence
February 2027
sunny
53%
clearings
19%
rainy
18%
cloudy
8%
9°C
13°C
48 mm
7 days
average confidence
March 2027
sunny
50%
clearings
26%
rainy
16%
cloudy
7%
10°C
14°C
42 mm
6 days
average confidence
April 2027
sunny
57%
clearings
21%
rainy
15%
cloudy
7%
12°C
17°C
55 mm
8 days
average confidence
May 2027
sunny
60%
clearings
22%
rainy
14%
15°C
20°C
37 mm
7 days
average confidence
June 2027
sunny
72%
clearings
16%
rainy
10%
20°C
24°C
19 mm
5 days
average confidence
July 2027
sunny
83%
clearings
12%
23°C
28°C
4 mm
2 days
high confidence
August 2027
sunny
82%
clearings
10%
rainy
6%
23°C
27°C
14 mm
4 days
high confidence
This 12-month weather calendar in Sanary-sur-Mer makes it easy to compare the warmest, driest, or sunniest periods.
Compare these forecasts with the weather archives of Sanary-sur-Mer
To go further, consult the city's detailed weather archives and the available years to compare these trends with past observations.
Long-term weather forecast around of Sanary-sur-Mer
Find the towns near of Sanary-sur-Mer on the map and compare their long-term weather forecasts to choose the most favorable area.
Long-term weather forecast calculation method in Sanary-sur-Mer
These long-term weather trends in Sanary-sur-Mer are estimated from 18 years of observed weather. They are mainly useful for identifying the most favorable periods and do not replace short-term weather forecasts.
Number of years of history
18
Comparison window
target day +/- 7 days
Update
daily
Output type
weather trend based on history
How are these trends calculated
Same period, year after year
For each future day, we look at the comparable dates observed over 18 years, with a rolling window of 15 days around the target day.
More weight to recent years
The most recent years are weighted slightly more to better reflect recent changes in weather conditions.
How to read the prevailing weather
The prevailing weather corresponds to the most frequent weather scenario over the displayed period. The percentage indicates its estimated share, and the other weather types shown in smaller size display the possible secondary scenarios, especially useful in weekly or monthly forecasts.
Months are calculated separately
Monthly trends are calculated directly from historical months to avoid artificial daily accumulations.
How to read confidence levels
The confidence score summarizes how much the model runs converge on a stable weather scenario for the displayed period.
high confidence
70 to 100
Past years tell a fairly coherent story: temperatures, rainfall and weather type vary little around the dominant scenario.
average confidence
45 to 69
A clear trend exists, but with greater year-to-year variations. The result should be read as a probable direction.
limited trust
0 to 44
The archives are more scattered over this period. The displayed scenario remains useful as a reference, but it should be interpreted with caution.
In practice, confidence is generally more robust over months than over weeks, because longer periods smooth out weather variability more.
Limits to keep in mind
- This is a long-term trend based on historical data, not an operational weather forecast for a few days.
- Exceptional or very localized episodes may deviate significantly from the most likely scenario.
- Monthly trends are generally more reliable for choosing a period, while day-by-day detail is mainly used to refine pinpointing.